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The Cholesterol Myth
Part 6: Has Anyone Gained?
So far we have been looking at cholesterol lowering in terms of numbers of
deaths, but the trials
have shown impressive results in the reduction of non-fatal heart attacks and a
consequent
improvement in the quality of life. In the case of drugs, the reduction was in
the order of twenty-three percent. Many see this as proof that lowering
cholesterol in the total population, by
whatever means, is worth fighting for.
But those trials were conducted on men rather than women. They were also
conducted on
those who had hypercholesterolaemia or, at least, very high blood cholesterol
levels - not people
with normal levels. They totally overlook the now well-established, non-linear
relation between
blood cholesterol and heart disease that indicates that lowering blood
cholesterol in the general
population is not economically worthwhile. The widespread agreement that the
mainstay of the
campaign should be a change in diet and lifestyle for all also overlooks the
complete lack of
evidence that such a course would have any significant beneficial effect. It
even overlooks the
fact that the trials involving cholesterol lowering by dietary means did not
show any significant
reductions in blood cholesterol.
In 1992 a report of 19 major studies published over the past twenty years
suggested that public
policy for reducing blood cholesterol should be reviewed. The graph below plots
the relative
mortality risk from all causes associated with levels of blood cholesterol in
men and women. In
the case of women, you can see clearly that risk rises as blood cholesterol
falls. The report's
author, Dr. Hulley, states:
"We are coming to realise that the resulting cardiovascular research, which
represents the
great majority of the effort so far, may not apply to women".
With men, the situation is more complicated as the curve is U-shaped. However,
it is still
noticeable that the risk with low cholesterol is similar to the risk with high
cholesterol. Dr.
Hulley concludes:
"the findings call into question policies built over several decades on
evidence that focussed
only on CHD as an outcome . . . it may be time to review national policies
aimed at shifting the
entire population distribution of blood cholesterol to the left."
Another analysis based on a number of American studies estimated that on a
lifelong
programme of cholesterol reduction by diet, the gain in life expectancy for
those at very high
risk (that is the 1 in 500 with hypercholesterolaemia) would be between
eighteen days and
twelve months, and for those at low risk (that is the other 499) between three
days and three
months. That is not very much with which to tempt people to endure a lifetime
of unpalatable
diets. And these figures assumed that cholesterol lowering was both effective
and safe: they
didn't take into account the increased risk of other debilitating and fatal
diseases. Once these are
added to the equation, it becomes quite evident that the current campaign is
certain to do more
harm than good. A study of Maori in New Zealand showed that those with the
lowest
levels of
blood cholesterol had the
highest
mortality. Findings also borne out by the Framingham Study.
What we have then is a number of very large-scale, long-term human intervention
studies
showing that lowering blood cholesterol is possible but that it has no
beneficial effect on
coronary heart disease in the general population, and other studies showing
that a low blood
cholesterol level, or the methods used to attain it, are increasing the
incidence of other serious
killer diseases.
Thirty years ago it was said that
"current medical thinking . . . is that while cholesterol may be involved in
some way with
arteriosclerosis and heart disease, it is no longer held to be the main
factor." . . . "A recent
survey of cholesterol findings in geriatric cases involving arteriosclerosis
showed a significant
number of patients to have normal or low cholesterol."
Those remarks have been confirmed by all the major studies published to date.
Forty years
after the Framingham Heart Study began, its researchers looked at total
mortality and
cholesterol. The evidence was that for those with low cholesterol levels,
deaths from non-cardiac
causes offset any reduced incidence of heart disease. There was
"no increased overall mortality
with either high or low serum cholesterol levels"
among men over forty-seven years of age.
There was no relationship with women older than forty-seven or younger than
forty. The
researchers also concluded that people whose cholesterol levels are falling may
be at
increased
risk.
And ten years later the Framingham researchers say:
"Intakes of fat and type of fat were not
related to the incidence of the combined outcome of all cardiovascular diseases
or to total or
cardiovascular mortality."
Thus we now have fifty years of studies all demonstrating that animal
fat is harmless.
References:
S Hulley,
et al.
Editorial on Conference on low blood cholesterol.
Circulation
1992; 86 (3):
1026-9
Report on the US National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute Conference on low blood cholesterol: Mortality associations. Circulation 1992; 86 (3): 1046-60. Oliver MF. Reducing Cholesterol Does Not Reduce Mortality. JACC 1988; 12: 814-7.
J McCormick and P Skrabanek. Coronary heart disease is not preventable by population interventions. Lancet. 1988; ii: 839. R Beaglehole,
et al.
Cholesterol and mortality in New Zealand Maoris.
BMJ.
1980; 1: 285.
Anderson KM, Castelli WP, Levy D. Cholesterol and mortality. 30 years of follow-up from the Framingham study. JAMA 1987; 257: 2176-80.
Gillman MW, Cupples LA, Millen BE, Ellison RC, Wolf PA. Inverse association of dietary fat with development of ischemic stroke in men. JAMA 1997; 278: 2145-50.
See also www.Cholesterol-and-Health.org.uk, an easy to read website about this whole topic from what cholesterol is, why you need it, and how it is made in the body, to what happens if you take cholesterol-lowering drugs such as statins.
Last updated 18 September 2000
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